Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plymouth Argyle v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals
Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
HAZ
Plymouth Argyle 5-2 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics
Plymouth Argyle cruised past Cardiff City 5-2. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Cardiff City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 29% of the ball to Cardiff City's 71%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 2.95 to 1.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 2.33 for Cardiff City.
What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City?
Plymouth Argyle 5-2 Cardiff City in the England - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 33%, draw 24%, Cardiff City 44%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff City) went the other way.