Stockport County 4-2 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
16.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 24% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.21
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
20%
4.04
X/2
6%
9.32
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
7%
24.8
2/2
10%
7.88
2/X
8%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -12%
1.86/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.43
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.2 Crosses 18.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2025 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 1-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNTK
30.08.2025 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
26.08.2025 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İNLK
15.02.2025 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
05.10.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
06.12.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
4-2
AWAY Wigan Athletic
3.62 xG 1.46
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
506 Passes 157
85% Pass Accuracy 61%
36 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County saw off Wigan Athletic 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Stockport County had 70% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 30%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 3.62 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stockport County and 0.83 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Wigan Athletic?

Stockport County 4-2 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 51%, draw 25%, Wigan Athletic 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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