Mansfield Town 0-2 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.25
1/2
7%
24.8
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
10%
7.03
X/2
20%
4.69
X/X
10%
4.63
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.81
2/X
10%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.11/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.14
+15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.7 Crosses 16.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lincoln City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.08 xG 1.85
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
475 Passes 241
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN1
18.02.2025 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
24.08.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 4-1 HT 2-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN1
06.10.2020 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İNTK
18.03.2019 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN2
24.11.2018 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
0-2
AWAY Lincoln City
0.66 xG 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
304 Passes 245
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City beat Mansfield Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 54% of the ball to Lincoln City's 46%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.66 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mansfield Town and 2.17 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Lincoln City?

Mansfield Town 0-2 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 29%, draw 28%, Lincoln City 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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