Wycombe Wanderers 3-1 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.85
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
17%
4.35
X/2
10%
7.14
X/X
14%
3.89
2/1
11%
30.0
2/2
9%
6.05
2/X
8%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.60/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.13
+16% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 64%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.6 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stevenage
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.85 xG 0.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 188
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
12.04.2025 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
26.12.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 0-3 HT 0-2 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
24.02.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
11.11.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
10.10.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
3-1
AWAY Stevenage
0.57 xG 1.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 Passes 227
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
11 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers got the better of Stevenage 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wycombe Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 56% of the ball to Stevenage's 44%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.57 to 1.49 — on chances, Stevenage could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 0.50 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage?

Wycombe Wanderers 3-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 48%, draw 28%, Stevenage 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
21 Feb 2026
15:30 Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City Analysis →
15:30 Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Stockport County vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Port Vale vs Reading Analysis →
18:00 Northampton Town vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
18:00 Mansfield Town vs Lincoln City Analysis →