Bayern Münih 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
89%
1.11
Draw
6%
8.11
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
29%
1.0
Over
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.67
No
45%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
12%
14.55
2-3
38%
3.12
4-5
33%
2.25
6+
17%
2.39
Value flag · 2-3 at 3.12 — our 38% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
65%
1.14
1/2
0%
34.0
1/X
2%
32.5
X/1
20%
4.41
X/2
2%
34.0
X/X
3%
18.1
2/1
4%
18.35
2/2
3%
32.5
2/X
1%
34.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.41 — our 20% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bayern Münih The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt The Market 9%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
3.38 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.75
0.85 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.54
Great Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
581 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
42 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.49 xG 0.74
65% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
663 Passes 310
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
23.02.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
06.10.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 HT 2-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
27.04.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
09.12.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 HT 3-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
28.01.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
3 - 2
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
2.79 xG 2.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
24 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
465 Passes 438
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
39 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Bayern Münih vs Eintracht Frankfurt
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayern Münih shaded a tight game against Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 89%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Bayern Münih had 51% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 49%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.79 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.67 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Bayern Münih vs Eintracht Frankfurt Result & Final Score

Bayern Münih 3 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bayern Münih vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 89%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 89%, draw 6%, Eintracht Frankfurt 5%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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