Wolfsburg 2-3 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 21 Feb 2026

Wolfsburg
2 - 3 HT 1 - 0
Augsburg
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.57
No
42%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.79
2-3
47%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.04
6+
6%
9.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.98
1/2
2%
30.0
1/X
6%
11.85
X/1
15%
5.25
X/2
11%
6.94
X/X
17%
4.85
2/1 ✗
3%
23.95
2/2
16%
4.63
2/X
5%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 3% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Wolfsburg v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Wolfsburg The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.65 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Augsburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.61 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
442 Passes 258
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.10.2025 Augsburg Augsburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
15.03.2025 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
02.11.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
16.03.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-3 HT 1-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
28.10.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 3-2 HT 1-2 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
01.04.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 0-2 Augsburg Augsburg AL1

Wolfsburg 2-3 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
2 - 3
AWAY Augsburg
1.70 xG 1.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
393 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Wolfsburg vs Augsburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Augsburg came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Wolfsburg 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

We leaned Wolfsburg at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Wolfsburg had 50% of the ball to Augsburg's 50%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.70 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wolfsburg and 2.17 for Augsburg.

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Result & Final Score

Wolfsburg 2 - 3 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 43%, draw 28%, Augsburg 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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