Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Once Caldas v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Once Caldas 4-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas saw off Fortaleza CEIF 4-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we said in the preview, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Once Caldas had 59% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 41%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.49 to 1.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Once Caldas and 1.67 for Fortaleza CEIF.
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF Result & Final Score
Once Caldas 4 - 2 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 50%, draw 29%, Fortaleza CEIF 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.