Burundi 0-1 Fildişi Sahili — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.95
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
50%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.67
No
49%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+12.6pp
28%
Draw
19%
+8.7pp
50%
Away Win
71%
-21.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
33%
+17.8pp
49%
BTTS No
67%
-17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burundi EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Fildişi Sahili EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +150%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
214 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burundi
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Fildişi Sahili
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
16.11.2022 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 4-0 HT 2-0 Burundi Burundi HAZ
09.10.2011 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 2-1 HT 0-0 Burundi Burundi AFUK
09.10.2010 Burundi Burundi 0-1 HT 0-1 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burundi
0-1
AWAY Fildişi Sahili
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burundi vs Fildişi Sahili
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fildişi Sahili edged past Burundi 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fildişi Sahili as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Burundi had 41% of the ball to Fildişi Sahili's 59%, shots finished 3-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fildişi Sahili led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Burundi and 2.33 for Fildişi Sahili.

What was the final score of Burundi vs Fildişi Sahili?

Burundi 0-1 Fildişi Sahili in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burundi vs Fildişi Sahili?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fildişi Sahili win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Burundi 22%, draw 28%, Fildişi Sahili 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fildişi Sahili), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fildişi Sahili) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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