Gana 5-0 Çad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

Gana
5-0 HT 3-0
Çad
📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
3.14
Over 2.5
50%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
3.08
No
50%
1.32
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
85%
-51.9pp
33%
Draw
8%
+24.9pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+26.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
28%
+21.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
72%
-21.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
28%
+21.6pp
50%
BTTS No
72%
-21.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gana EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Çad EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.35/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.71
-13% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gana vs Çad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gana swept aside Çad 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Gana made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Gana vs Çad?

Gana 5-0 Çad in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gana vs Çad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gana win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Gana 33%, draw 33%, Çad 33%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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