Seattle Sounders 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.05
X/2
7%
8.79
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
10%
6.93
2/X
5%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -18%
1.83/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.59
-11% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
23.8 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
456 Passes 314
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
09.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-3 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
21.05.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
18.09.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 2-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
15.06.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 4-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
08.11.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 1-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
0-2
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.60 xG 2.01
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
353 Passes 675
84% Pass Accuracy 93%
22 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps saw off Seattle Sounders 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Seattle Sounders at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 37% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 63%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.60 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.17 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Seattle Sounders 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 50%, draw 27%, Vancouver Whitecaps 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Seattle Sounders) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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