York City vs Oldham Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York City v Oldham Athletic — Team-Based Signals
York City vs Oldham Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
York City
İBSL
2-0
HT 1-0
York City
İBSL
1-1
HT 0-0
Oldham Athletic
İBSL
York City 1-1 Oldham Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
York City and Oldham Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was York City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, York City had 62% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 38%, shots finished 7-9.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for York City and 1.20 for Oldham Athletic.
What was the final score of York City vs Oldham Athletic?
York City 1-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York City vs Oldham Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split York City 47%, draw 26%, Oldham Athletic 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (York City), BTTS No went the other way.