Bath City 0-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.68
Over
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.75
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.9
6+
9%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +27%
1.76/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.21
+0% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
01.01.2024 Bath City Bath City 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
26.12.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
01.01.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
26.12.2022 Bath City Bath City 1-3 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
02.01.2022 Bath City Bath City 2-0 HT 2-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
0-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town squeezed past Bath City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bath City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bath City had 59% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 41%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bath City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bath City and 0.67 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Chippenham Town?

Bath City 0-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bath City 43%, draw 28%, Chippenham Town 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bath City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bath City) ✓ Under 2.5
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