Chester 2-1 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.38/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.82
-22% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Marine
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.12.2024 Marine Marine 2-3 HT 0-2 Chester Chester İCON
24.10.2020 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 Marine Marine FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
2-1
AWAY Marine
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chester vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester squeezed past Marine 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chester had 58% of the ball to Marine's 42%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chester and 1.50 for Marine.

What was the final score of Chester vs Marine?

Chester 2-1 Marine in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chester 43%, draw 30%, Marine 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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