Chorley 5-0 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
2.0
Over
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.58
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
19%
3.13
6+
8%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.58 — our 32% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.91/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.25
+9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 2-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
26.12.2024 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
5-0
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley cruised past Radcliffe Borough 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chorley had 50% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 50%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Radcliffe Borough led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Chorley and 1.50 for Radcliffe Borough.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Radcliffe Borough?

Chorley 5-0 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chorley 48%, draw 26%, Radcliffe Borough 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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