Farsley AFC 0-3 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
23%
7.13
Away Pick
59%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.89
Over
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
23%
6.19
2-3
39%
2.09
4-5
25%
2.44
6+
13%
4.98
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.19 — our 23% vs market 11.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Curzon Ashton win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+12.0pp
23%
Draw
12%
+11.1pp
59%
Away Win
82%
-23.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 85%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
219 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 517 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-3 HT 1-2 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
06.01.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
12.12.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-1 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
28.01.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 5-2 HT 3-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
27.08.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-1 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
19.03.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 HT 0-2 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
0-3
AWAY Curzon Ashton
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton cruised past Farsley AFC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Curzon Ashton as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 31% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 69%, shots finished 8-27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farsley AFC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Farsley AFC and 1.50 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Curzon Ashton?

Farsley AFC 0-3 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 18%, draw 23%, Curzon Ashton 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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