Worthing 1-1 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.21
Over
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.36
2-3
39%
1.87
4-5
22%
2.79
6+
14%
7.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.03/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.45
+46% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.12.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-2 Worthing Worthing İCON
27.11.2021 Worthing Worthing 0-2 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
1-1
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing and Dorking Wanderers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Worthing at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Worthing had 58% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 42%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Worthing and 1.50 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Dorking Wanderers?

Worthing 1-1 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Worthing 45%, draw 25%, Dorking Wanderers 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
21 Apr 2025
15:00 Scarborough Athletic vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
15:00 Maidstone United vs Tonbridge Angels Analysis →
17:00 Salisbury vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
17:00 Weston-super-Mare vs Truro City Analysis →
17:00 St. Albans City vs Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis →
17:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Aveley Analysis →