FC Kuressaare 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.84/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.11
+15% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
20.07.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
01.06.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.04.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
06.10.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
28.07.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
0-1
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus squeezed past FC Kuressaare 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Parnu JK Vaprus made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 53% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 47%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Kuressaare and 1.17 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

FC Kuressaare 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 41%, draw 23%, Parnu JK Vaprus 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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