Rigas Skola 4-0 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.25
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
76%
-3.4pp
13%
Draw
16%
-3.1pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
2.64/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.19
+34% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
41.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
26.8 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.55 xG 0.68
71% Ball Possession 29%
24 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
514 Passes 159
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
47 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2026 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
13.09.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-4 HT 0-3 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
26.06.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
05.05.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-2 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
11.03.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
30.09.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
4-0
AWAY FS Jelgava
2.21 xG 0.31
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
518 Passes 187
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
47 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola ran out comfortable winners over FS Jelgava 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 69% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 31%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.21 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rigas Skola and 1.00 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs FS Jelgava?

Rigas Skola 4-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 72%, draw 13%, FS Jelgava 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5
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