Hartlepool United 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Sep 2024

Hartlepool United
0-1 HT 0-1
Dagenham & Redbridge
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Hartlepool United vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.91
Over
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
32%
3.46
2-3
37%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.45
6+
8%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.46 — our 32% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.36
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
12%
13.25
X/1
12%
5.15
X/2
11%
5.87
X/X
10%
4.79
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
18%
4.01
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartlepool United v Dagenham & Redbridge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +12%
1.40/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.30
-4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Hartlepool United vs Dagenham & Redbridge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
23.09.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
02.04.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
23.03.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
21.12.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-0 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
14.09.2019 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL

Hartlepool United 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
0-1
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
0 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge squeezed past Hartlepool United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Dagenham & Redbridge made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 56% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 44%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hartlepool United and 0.83 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Hartlepool United 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 35%, draw 29%, Dagenham & Redbridge 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
21 Sep 2024
17:00 Braintree Town vs Tamworth Analysis →
17:00 Aldershot Town vs York City Analysis →
17:00 Eastleigh vs Rochdale Analysis →
17:00 Solihull Moors vs Southend United Analysis →
17:00 AFC Fylde vs Woking Analysis →
17:00 Gateshead vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →