Oldham Athletic 1-0 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.55
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.95
X/1
13%
4.06
X/2
6%
7.61
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
15%
6.05
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.60/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.58
-1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Yeovil
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 0-3 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
22.10.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
12.02.2019 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 4-1 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İN2
21.08.2018 Yeovil Yeovil 0-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
07.03.2015 Yeovil Yeovil 2-1 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN1
13.12.2014 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-4 HT 0-3 Yeovil Yeovil İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-0
AWAY Yeovil
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic nicked a narrow win over Yeovil 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oldham Athletic as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 50% of the ball to Yeovil's 50%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.17 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Yeovil?

Oldham Athletic 1-0 Yeovil in the England - National League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 44%, draw 27%, Yeovil 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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