Wealdstone 0-3 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.01
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.66 — our 30% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.12
1/2
5%
21.15
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
10%
10.15
X/2
15%
4.21
X/X
12%
5.79
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.08
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.0pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 60%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.20/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.64
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barnet
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
25.11.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-2 HT 1-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
25.03.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-2 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
03.12.2022 Barnet Barnet 2-0 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
12.02.2022 Barnet Barnet 1-3 HT 0-2 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
13.11.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
0-3
AWAY Barnet
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
0 Passes 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet ran out comfortable winners over Wealdstone 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wealdstone had 41% of the ball to Barnet's 59%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wealdstone had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wealdstone and 1.33 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Barnet?

Wealdstone 0-3 Barnet in the England - National League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 26%, draw 27%, Barnet 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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