Torquay United 1-1 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.97
Over
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.69
2-3
43%
1.82
4-5
20%
3.28
6+
8%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.69 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City The Market 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
2.18/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.62
+23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
410 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Albans City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 0-4 HT 0-3 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
19.08.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 0-1 HT 0-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
1-1
AWAY St. Albans City
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United and St. Albans City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Torquay United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Torquay United had 47% of the ball to St. Albans City's 53%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Torquay United and 2.00 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs St. Albans City?

Torquay United 1-1 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 46%, draw 26%, St. Albans City 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torquay United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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