Warrington Town 1-1 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.58
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 31% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -47%
1.28/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.87
+4% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
05.09.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 3-3 HT 1-2 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
1-1
AWAY Spennymoor Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town and Spennymoor Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Warrington Town had 53% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 47%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Warrington Town and 2.50 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Spennymoor Town?

Warrington Town 1-1 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 31%, draw 24%, Spennymoor Town 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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