Nosaby IF 1-1 Karlshamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.88/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.66
-1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nosaby IF
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Karlshamn
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
31.05.2024 Karlshamn 4-0 HT 3-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
13.11.2021 Karlshamn 2-1 HT 2-1 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
06.10.2021 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
08.08.2020 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 4-0 HT 1-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Nosaby IF vs Karlshamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nosaby IF and Karlshamn shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nosaby IF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Karlshamn led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nosaby IF and 1.50 for Karlshamn.

What was the final score of Nosaby IF vs Karlshamn?

Nosaby IF 1-1 Karlshamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nosaby IF vs Karlshamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nosaby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nosaby IF 48%, draw 23%, Karlshamn 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nosaby IF), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nosaby IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
21 Sep 2024
13:00 Hittarps IK vs Qviding FIF Analysis →
13:00 Umea FC Akademi vs Kiruna FF Analysis →
14:00 FK Karlskrona vs IFK Berga Analysis →
14:00 IFK Lulea vs IFK Östersund Analysis →
14:00 Vanersborgs IF vs Lidköpings FK Analysis →
14:00 Stenungsund vs IFK Kumla Analysis →