21/09/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Taftea vs Lucksta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
24%
Draw
24%
27%
Away Win
31%
46%
Under 2.5
31%
54%
Over 2.5
69%
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
49%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Taftea v Lucksta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Taftea
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lucksta
EU Bookmakers 34%
-26% /
-26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
0.63/1.21
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.05/3.29
-67%
/
+21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+35%
/
-44%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
402 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
355 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Taftea vs Lucksta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Taftea
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Lucksta
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Taftea vs Lucksta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Taftea got the better of Lucksta 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Taftea as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Taftea vs Lucksta?
Taftea 3-1 Lucksta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Taftea vs Lucksta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Taftea win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Taftea 49%, draw 24%, Lucksta 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taftea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Taftea)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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21 Sep 2024