Trofense 2-3 Vianense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.99
No
40%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
31%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
46%
+13.6pp
40%
BTTS No
54%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Vianense EU Bookmakers 17%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Vianense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 1-0 Vianense Vianense POR3
03.03.2024 Vianense Vianense 1-1 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
09.12.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 0-1 Vianense Vianense POR3
26.08.2023 Vianense Vianense 0-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
2-3
AWAY Vianense
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
15 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Vianense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vianense edged past Trofense 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Trofense at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Trofense had 67% of the ball to Vianense's 33%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Trofense had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trofense and 0.50 for Vianense.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Vianense?

Trofense 2-3 Vianense in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Vianense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Trofense 56%, draw 22%, Vianense 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trofense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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