Gil Vicente U23 1-0 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.82
Over 2.5
59%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
51%
-9.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
49%
+9.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.69/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.68
-12% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vizela U23
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.04.2025 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
28.01.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
05.11.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 3-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
20.08.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-4 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
16.04.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-0 HT 0-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
14.02.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 4-3 HT 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1-0
AWAY Vizela U23
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 squeezed past Vizela U23 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gil Vicente U23 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 42% of the ball to Vizela U23's 58%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 2.00 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23?

Gil Vicente U23 1-0 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 51%, draw 22%, Vizela U23 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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