Larne FC 2-1 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.29
Draw
12%
4.95
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.54
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.48
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
24.45
X/1
29%
3.6
X/2
3%
21.55
X/X
4%
7.17
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
5%
20.8
2/X
3%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
73%
+3.7pp
12%
Draw
17%
-4.9pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 12%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
2.07/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.16
-11% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
467 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Glenavon FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
22.03.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
18.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
17.09.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
16.03.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 6-1 HT 5-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
03.02.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRK
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC squeezed past Glenavon FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Larne FC and 0.33 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Glenavon FC?

Larne FC 2-1 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 77%, draw 12%, Glenavon FC 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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