Nacional Asuncion 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.31/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.31
-4% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 3-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
05.05.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
23.02.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
07.10.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
04.08.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
06.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion saw off Sportivo Ameliano 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 49% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 51%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.33 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Nacional Asuncion 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 49%, draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
21 Nov 2025
23:00 Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Olimpia Analysis →