Sportivo Ameliano 3-0 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-2.7pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.2pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.09/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.19
+4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
214 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
23.02.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
07.10.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
04.08.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
06.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
20.01.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
3-0
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano cruised past Nacional Asuncion 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional Asuncion at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 39% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 61%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 0.33 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?

Sportivo Ameliano 3-0 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 23%, draw 35%, Nacional Asuncion 42%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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