Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Freiburg
AL1
1-1
HT 1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
2-3
HT 1-0
Freiburg
AL1
2-1
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen swept aside Freiburg 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 67% of the ball to Freiburg's 33%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.86 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.67 for Freiburg.
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg?
Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 55%, draw 25%, Freiburg 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.