Hoffenheim 1-2 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
15%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.11
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.41
X/2
11%
6.59
X/X
15%
5.34
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
15%
4.11
2/X
4%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.73/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.75
+25% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.5 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.59 xG 1.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
409 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 4-3 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
02.12.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
28.01.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-4 HT 0-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
06.08.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-1 HT 1-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
14.05.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 5-1 HT 3-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
18.12.2021 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
1-2
AWAY Mönchengladbach
3.54 xG 0.76
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
573 Passes 298
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
54 Box Touches 11
44 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach nicked a narrow win over Hoffenheim 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Mönchengladbach made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 65% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 35%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 3.54 to 0.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hoffenheim.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hoffenheim and 3.00 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Mönchengladbach?

Hoffenheim 1-2 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 37%, draw 28%, Mönchengladbach 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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