Accrington Stanley 1-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.25
1/2
11%
26.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
10%
6.87
X/2
14%
4.68
X/X
7%
4.48
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.91
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +33%
1.02/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.86
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +81%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
232 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.9 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.14 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
209 Passes 220
62% Pass Accuracy 60%
27 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 4-1 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
13.04.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
09.12.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
14.11.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers FAK
04.11.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-2 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley FAK
22.02.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
1-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.45 xG 0.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
234 Passes 127
68% Pass Accuracy 53%
18 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers nicked a narrow win over Accrington Stanley 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 59% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 41%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.45 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Accrington Stanley and 2.33 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Doncaster Rovers?

Accrington Stanley 1-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 31%, draw 24%, Doncaster Rovers 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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