Sabah 1-0 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 22 Feb 2026

Sabah
1-0 HT 0-0
Kapaz
📅22/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
8%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.09
No
45%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
17%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
72%
+2.4pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.0pp
8%
Away Win
10%
-2.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+11.0pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.96/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.23
-5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -16%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kapaz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
09.11.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 1-3 HT 1-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
06.04.2025 Sabah Sabah 0-1 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
31.01.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 3-2 HT 1-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
09.11.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
31.08.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 2-3 HT 2-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.04.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah edged past Kapaz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sabah and 1.67 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Kapaz?

Sabah 1-0 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Sabah 75%, draw 17%, Kapaz 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
22 Feb 2026
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