Kapaz 1-3 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 Nov 2025

Kapaz
1-3 HT 1-2
Sabah
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:44 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.91
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
72%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
25%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
14%
-1.9pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.9pp
73%
Away Win
66%
+6.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -22%
0.77/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.91
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -40%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sabah
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.04.2025 Sabah Sabah 0-1 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
31.01.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 3-2 HT 1-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
09.11.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
31.08.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 2-3 HT 2-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.04.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
17.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 3-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah beat Kapaz 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kapaz and 2.00 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Sabah?

Kapaz 1-3 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 12%, draw 16%, Sabah 73%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
9 Nov 2025
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