Leon vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
0-2
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
Leon 2-1 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Leon edged past Santos Laguna 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leon as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Leon had 48% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 52%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.08 to 0.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leon and 1.50 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Leon vs Santos Laguna?
Leon 2-1 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Leon 56%, draw 21%, Santos Laguna 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.