Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cruz Azul 2-1 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (42% / 21% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 38% of the ball to Guadalajara's 62%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.65 to 1.39 — on chances, Guadalajara could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.50 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara?
Cruz Azul 2-1 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 42%, draw 21%, Guadalajara 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.