Tijuana vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Mazatlan
MEK
1-2
HT 1-1
Tijuana
MEK
Tijuana 1-1 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana and Mazatlan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Tijuana carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Tijuana had 57% of the ball to Mazatlan's 43%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.74 to 2.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tijuana and 1.00 for Mazatlan.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Mazatlan?
Tijuana 1-1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 57%, draw 24%, Mazatlan 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tijuana) went the other way.