Avusturya U21 1-1 Danimarka U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.5
6+ Goals
7%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.7pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avusturya U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Danimarka U21 EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.15/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.15
-25% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avusturya U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Danimarka U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.20 xG 1.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
355 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 4
20.06.2019 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 3-1 HT 1-0 Avusturya U21 Avusturya U21 U21
22.03.2018 Avusturya U21 Avusturya U21 0-5 HT 0-2 Danimarka U21 Danimarka U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avusturya U21
1-1
AWAY Danimarka U21
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avusturya U21 vs Danimarka U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya U21 and Danimarka U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Avusturya U21 had 40% of the ball to Danimarka U21's 60%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Danimarka U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avusturya U21 and 4.00 for Danimarka U21.

What was the final score of Avusturya U21 vs Danimarka U21?

Avusturya U21 1-1 Danimarka U21 in the Friendlies on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avusturya U21 vs Danimarka U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avusturya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avusturya U21 37%, draw 33%, Danimarka U21 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Avusturya U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avusturya U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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