Altrincham 0-1 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 30% vs market 18.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.89
1/2
9%
20.55
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
9%
10.35
X/2
19%
4.24
X/X
9%
6.0
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.0
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
20%
+7.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.02/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.04
-10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
94 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Barnet
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Altrincham Altrincham 3-1 Barnet Barnet İNFAT
10.09.2024 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
06.01.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 3-2 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
09.09.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
21.02.2023 Barnet Barnet 2-4 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
08.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
0-1
AWAY Barnet
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet edged past Altrincham 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Altrincham had 47% of the ball to Barnet's 53%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Altrincham and 2.00 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Barnet?

Altrincham 0-1 Barnet in the England - National League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 27%, draw 24%, Barnet 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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