Winterthur 0-2 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
6.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.06
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
19.3
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
10%
9.06
X/2
19%
4.68
X/X
13%
6.28
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.2
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.3 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.7pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.03/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.25
-16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
15.4 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Basel
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.20 xG 3.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
284 Passes 451
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 42
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 1-2 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
18.10.2025 Basel Basel 3-0 HT 3-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.07.2025 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur HAZ
30.03.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
02.11.2024 Basel Basel 5-0 HT 3-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
26.10.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-6 HT 0-3 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
0-2
AWAY Basel
2.64 xG 0.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
256 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel got the better of Winterthur 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Winterthur had 43% of the ball to Basel's 57%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.64 to 0.87 — on chances, Winterthur could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Winterthur and 3.17 for Basel.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Basel?

Winterthur 0-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 22%, draw 26%, Basel 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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