Young Boys 1-1 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 22 Mar 2026

Young Boys
1-1 HT 1-0
Lugano
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Young Boys vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.86
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
14%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.44
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
20%
4.71
X/2
6%
8.07
X/X
8%
5.57
2/1
7%
21.05
2/2
10%
5.6
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
50%
+8.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.6pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Young Boys v Lugano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -19%
2.07/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.56
+51% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.4 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Young Boys vs Lugano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lugano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 1.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
266 Passes 391
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.12.2025 Lugano Lugano 3-0 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
31.08.2025 Young Boys Young Boys 3-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
24.05.2025 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
23.02.2025 Young Boys Young Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
10.11.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
27.10.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV

Young Boys 1-1 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
1-1
AWAY Lugano
1.05 xG 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
442 Passes 367
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys and Lugano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Young Boys carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Young Boys had 53% of the ball to Lugano's 47%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.05 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Young Boys and 1.33 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Lugano?

Young Boys 1-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 58%, draw 19%, Lugano 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Young Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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