Brann 1-2 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.82
Over
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.12
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.5
6+
9%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.59
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.53
X/2
10%
7.75
X/X
10%
4.64
2/1
13%
24.35
2/2
10%
5.93
2/X
6%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 13% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.68/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.46
-14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.5 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Tromsö
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.56 xG 1.39
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
514 Passes 258
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Tromsö Tromsö 1-2 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
06.04.2025 Brann Brann 3-1 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
27.10.2024 Brann Brann 4-0 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
01.04.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 2-4 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR
24.09.2023 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
23.07.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
1-2
AWAY Tromsö
1.51 xG 2.31
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
396 Passes 217
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brann vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö nicked a narrow win over Brann 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brann at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Brann had 61% of the ball to Tromsö's 39%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.51 to 2.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Brann and 1.33 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Brann vs Tromsö?

Brann 1-2 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brann 52%, draw 22%, Tromsö 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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