Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sandefjord v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sandefjord 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 saw off Sandefjord 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Sandefjord at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sandefjord had 64% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 36%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.94 to 2.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sandefjord and 2.00 for Sarpsborg 08.
What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08?
Sandefjord 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 45%, draw 22%, Sarpsborg 08 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.