Fredrikstad 3-1 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.71
Over
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.77
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
17%
3.91
6+
11%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.96
X/2
9%
6.34
X/X
10%
4.23
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.71
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.76/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.88
+42% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +70%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
22.9 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
323 Passes 389
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2026 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 3-2 HT 2-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
01.10.2025 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 2-1 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
16.05.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
30.10.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOK
04.08.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
12.05.2024 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-4 HT 0-4 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
3-1
AWAY KFUM Oslo
2.17 xG 1.12
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
190 Passes 461
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad beat KFUM Oslo 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 35% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 65%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.17 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.00 for KFUM Oslo.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs KFUM Oslo?

Fredrikstad 3-1 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 46%, draw 26%, KFUM Oslo 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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