Rosenborg vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rosenborg v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals
Rosenborg vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Rosenborg
NOR
Rosenborg 0-2 Valerenga — Actual Match Statistics
Valerenga saw off Rosenborg 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Rosenborg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rosenborg had 61% of the ball to Valerenga's 39%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rosenborg and 1.00 for Valerenga.
What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Valerenga?
Rosenborg 0-2 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Valerenga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 45%, draw 23%, Valerenga 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.