FK Orenburg vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Orenburg v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals
FK Orenburg vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Spartak Moskova
RUK
FK Orenburg 0-2 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Moskova saw off FK Orenburg 2-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, FK Orenburg had 45% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 55%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Orenburg and 1.00 for Spartak Moskova.
What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Spartak Moskova?
FK Orenburg 0-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Spartak Moskova?
Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 26%, draw 24%, Spartak Moskova 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.