Dinamo Moscow 1-3 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.95
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
10%
7.09
X/2
11%
4.81
X/X
13%
4.8
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
29%
2.8
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.95 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.58/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.16
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
14.8 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.48
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
296 Passes 400
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
05.11.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
26.10.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
26.04.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
10.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
28.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1-3
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.53 xG 0.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
313 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg beat Dinamo Moscow 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 47% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 53%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.53 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.00 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Dinamo Moscow 1-3 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 25%, draw 25%, Zenit St. Petersburg 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
22 Mar 2026
13:45 FK Orenburg vs Spartak Moskova Analysis →
16:30 Krylya Sovetov vs Rubin Kazan Analysis →
19:00 Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Analysis →