Dinamo Moscow 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.38/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.97
+38% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
296 Passes 400
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
26.10.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
26.04.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
10.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
28.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.03.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
0-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg squeezed past Dinamo Moscow 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 38% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 62%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.17 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Dinamo Moscow 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Cup on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 34%, draw 23%, Zenit St. Petersburg 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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