Lokomotiv Moscow 5-1 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
7.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.68
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.95
X/1
24%
3.98
X/2
6%
13.7
X/X
7%
7.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.65
2/2
9%
10.75
2/X
6%
19.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.65 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.2pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.77/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.49
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.3 Crosses 21.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Akron
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.28 xG 0.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
327 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Akron Akron 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
16.09.2025 Akron Akron 1-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
28.08.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUK
24.05.2025 Akron Akron 1-4 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
20.07.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2 HT 2-2 Akron Akron RUS
24.01.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 0-2 HT 0-2 Akron Akron HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
5-1
AWAY Akron
1.95 xG 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
382 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
51 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow cruised past Akron 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 61% of the ball to Akron's 39%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.95 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 1.17 for Akron.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron?

Lokomotiv Moscow 5-1 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 62%, draw 18%, Akron 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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